EX-99.1 2 cmw3800a.htm PRESS RELEASE
Financial Contact: Amy Giuffre (414) 343-8002
Media Contact: Bob Klein (414) 343-4433

HARLEY-DAVIDSON REPORTS 2008 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS

        Milwaukee, Wis., October 16, 2008 — Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HOG) today announced its results for the third quarter ended September 28, 2008. Revenue for the quarter was $1.42 billion compared to $1.54 billion in the year ago quarter, a 7.7 percent decrease. Net income for the quarter was $166.5 million compared to $265.0 million in the third quarter 2007, a decrease of 37.1 percent. Third quarter diluted earnings per share were $0.71, a 33.6 percent decrease compared to last year’s $1.07.

        “In the U.S., dealer retail sales of new Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the quarter were in line with our expectations,” said Jim Ziemer, Chief Executive Officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. “Although Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales in international markets overall continued to grow double digits in the quarter, unit sales in several European countries slowed more than we anticipated during September as a result of deteriorating economic conditions. We continue to carefully monitor all markets in light of the potential impact of the current economic realities.”

        For the full year 2008, the Company has narrowed its shipment expectations to 303,500 to 306,000 Harley-Davidson motorcycles. The Company has narrowed its expectations for diluted earnings per share for the full year to $3.00 to $3.10 from the prior range of $3.00 to $3.18.

        “We also have been able to maintain Harley-Davidson Financial Services’ position as a stable, consistent source of financing for dealers and retail customers during these turbulent conditions in the credit markets,” Ziemer said. “Prudent management and customer access to credit will continue to be priorities at HDFS.”

        “During the third quarter, we completed our acquisition of Italian motorcycle maker MV Agusta Group, expanding our opportunities in Europe. Our 105th Anniversary Celebration at the end of August drew tremendous, highly enthusiastic crowds. And we opened the Harley-Davidson MuseumTM, with its broad appeal to riders and non-riders alike. So even in the midst of economic uncertainty, we continue to broaden our appeal, plant seeds for the future and give people unparalleled experiences and reasons to ride,” Ziemer said.

        “Going forward, we expect the global economy and consumer concerns to continue to create challenges for Harley-Davidson through the end of the year and in 2009. I remain confident about our future as we continue to manage and reinvest in the business,” said Ziemer.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment – Third Quarter Results

        Revenue from Harley-Davidson motorcycles was $1.05 billion, a decrease of $131.7 million or 11.1 percent versus the same period last year. Shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles totaled 74,704 units, a decrease of 11,831 units or 13.7 percent compared to last year’s third quarter.

        Revenue from Parts and Accessories (P&A), which consists of Genuine Motor Parts and Genuine Motor Accessories, totaled $259.0 million, an increase of $7.5 million or 3.0 percent over the year-ago quarter. Revenue from General Merchandise, which consists of MotorClothes® apparel and collectibles, totaled $84.0 million, an increase of $0.8 million or 1.0 percent over the year-ago quarter.

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        Gross margin for the third quarter of 2008 was 34.0 percent of revenue compared to 38.4 percent for the third quarter last year. This decrease is primarily due to higher product costs and the allocation of fixed costs over fewer units than last year’s third quarter. Third quarter operating margin decreased to 16.4 percent from 23.2 percent in the third quarter of 2007. Operating margin for the third quarter of 2008 includes the impact of a one-time $16.6 million expense related to the value of acquired in-process research and development at MV Agusta Group.

Motorcycle Retail Sales Data

        During the third quarter, worldwide retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 9.6 percent compared to the third quarter of 2007.  U.S. retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 15.5 percent for the quarter. The heavyweight motorcycle market in the U.S. decreased 3.1 percent for the same period.

        Retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles grew 11.3 percent in the Company’s international markets during the third quarter of 2008 compared to the third quarter of 2007.  Third quarter retail sales increased 12.4 percent in Canada; the Europe Region was up 2.9 percent; the Asia Pacific Region was up 17.5 percent; and the Latin America Region was up 41.6 percent.

        During the first nine months of 2008, worldwide retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 6.0 percent compared to the prior year. In the U.S., Harley-Davidson motorcycle retail sales decreased 11.9 percent for the first nine months of the year while the U.S. heavyweight market was down 4.0 percent for the same period. International retail sales increased by 12.6 percent for the first nine months of 2008.

        Third quarter and year-to-date data are listed in the accompanying tables.

MV Agusta

        On August 8, 2008, the Company completed the purchase of the privately-held Italian motorcycle maker MV Agusta Group. The Company acquired 100 percent of MV Agusta Group shares for total consideration of 68.3 million euros ($105.1 million), which includes the satisfaction of existing bank debt for 47.5 million euros ($73.2 million). As a result of the acquisition, the Company recorded $87.9 million of goodwill and the $16.6 million one-time expense related to the value of acquired in-process research and development. These results are included in the quarterly financial data.

Financial Services Segment

        Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) operating income for the third quarter was $35.6 million, a decrease of $13.9 million or 28.0 percent compared to the year-ago quarter. The decrease is primarily due to a $9.4 million write-down of finance receivables held for sale to fair value. In addition, last year’s third quarter included a $3.5 million securitization gain compared to no securitization transaction during the third quarter of 2008.

Income Tax Rate

        The Company’s third quarter effective income tax rate was 38.2 percent compared to 35.5 percent in the same quarter last year. The third quarter increase was due primarily to a non-deductible in-process research and development charge for MV Agusta Group and the expiration of the federal research and development tax credit as of December 31, 2007. In October 2008, the federal research and development tax credit was reinstated for two years retroactive to January 1, 2008 continuing through December 31, 2009. The Company expects its full year effective income tax rate in 2008 will be approximately 35.5 percent.

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Harley-Davidson, Inc. — Nine Month Results

        For the first nine months of 2008, revenue totaled $4.30 billion, a 0.9 percent decrease from the year-ago period. Diluted earnings per share were $2.45, a decrease of 16.9 percent compared to the same period last year.

        Through the first nine months of this year, shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were 226,898 units, a 9.0 percent decrease compared to last year’s 249,413 units. Harley-Davidson motorcycle revenue was $3.26 billion, which is down 2.2 percent compared to last year’s $3.33 billion. P&A revenue totaled $706.6 million, a 0.5 percent increase over last year’s $703.1 million. General Merchandise revenue totaled $244.8 million, a 5.5 percent increase compared to $232.0 million during the same period in 2007.

        HDFS operating income was $107.7 million, a 38.0 percent decrease from last year’s $173.6 million.

Cash Flow

        Cash and marketable securities totaled $504.9 million as of September 28, 2008. Cash used by operations was $221.2 million, and capital expenditures were $153.7 million during the first nine months of 2008. For the full year of 2008, capital expenditures are still expected to be between $235 million and $250 million.

Stock Repurchase

        The Company repurchased 2.5 million shares of its common stock at a cost of $100.1 million during the third quarter of 2008. On September 28, 2008, the Company had 232.8 million shares of common stock outstanding.

        As of September 28, 2008, there were 16.7 million shares remaining on a board-approved share repurchase authorization. An additional board-approved share repurchase authorization is in place to offset option exercises.

Company Background

        Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the group of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company (HDMC), Buell Motorcycle Company (Buell), Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) and MV Agusta Group (MVAG). Harley-Davidson Motor Company produces heavyweight motorcycles and offers a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, general merchandise and related services. HDMC manufactures five families of motorcycles: Touring, Dyna®,Softail ®, Sportster ®and VRSC™. Buell produces premium sport performance motorcycles and offers a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and apparel. HDFS provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs primarily to Harley-Davidson and Buell dealers and customers. MVAG produces premium, high-performance sport motorcycles sold under the MV Agusta® brand and lightweight sport motorcycles sold under the Cagiva®brand.

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Forward-Looking Statements

        The Company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are “forward-looking statements” intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the Company “believes,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” or “estimates” or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the Company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

        The Company’s ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the Company’s ability to (i) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities and manage operating costs including materials, labor and overhead, (ii) manage production capacity and production changes, (iii) manage supply chain issues, (iv) provide products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (v) develop and implement sales and marketing plans that retain existing retail customers and attract new retail customers in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) sell all of its motorcycles and related products and services to its independent dealers, (vii) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributor and dealer network, (viii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (ix) adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (x) manage access to reliable sources of capital and adjust to fluctuations in the cost of capital, (xi) adjust to regional and worldwide demographic trends and economic and political conditions, including healthcare inflation, pension reform and tax changes, (xii) anticipate consumer confidence in the economy, (xiii) manage the credit quality, the loan servicing and collection activities, and the recovery rates of HDFS’ loan portfolio, (xiv) retain and attract talented employees, (xv) detect any issues with our motorcycles or manufacturing processes to avoid delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, increased warranty costs or litigation, (xvi) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology solutions and secure data contained in those systems, and (xvii) successfully integrate and profitably operate MV Agusta Group.

        In addition, the Company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the Company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All of these risk factors are impacted by the current turbulent capital, credit and retail markets.

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        The Company’s ability to sell its motorcycles and related products and services and to meet its financial expectations also depends on the ability of the Company’s independent dealers to sell its motorcycles and related products and services to retail customers. The Company depends on the capability and financial capacity of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the Company. In addition, the Company’s independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in operating their businesses and selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.

TABLES FOLLOW











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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)

Three months ended Nine months ended
September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007

September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007


Net revenue
    $ 1,422,834   $ 1,541,401   $ 4,301,716   $ 4,340,494  
Gross profit    484,072    591,353    1,522,133    1,619,566  
Operating expenses    250,046    233,068    710,420    639,512  




  Operating income from motorcycles & related products    234,026    358,285    811,713    980,054  

Financial services income
    111,966    98,471    312,095    319,964  
Financial services expense    76,333    49,002    204,408    146,349  




Operating income from financial services    35,633    49,469    107,687    173,615  

Corporate expenses
    1,657    2,292    14,482    13,763  




Income from operations    268,002    405,462    904,918    1,139,906  
Investment income, net    2,751    5,353    7,033    19,432  
Interest expense    1,226    --    1,226    --  




Income before provision for income taxes    269,527    410,815    910,725    1,159,338  
Provision for income taxes    102,986    145,849    333,816    411,572  




Net income   $ 166,541   $ 264,966   $ 576,909   $ 747,766  





Earnings per common share:
  
  Basic   $ 0.71   $ 1.07   $ 2.45   $ 2.96  
  Diluted   $ 0.71   $ 1.07   $ 2.45   $ 2.95  

Weighted-average common shares:
  
  Basic    233,081    247,057    235,068    252,513  
  Diluted    233,420    247,614    235,321    253,263  

Cash dividends per common share
   $ 0.33   $ 0.30   $ 0.96   $ 0.76  

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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)

(Unaudited)
September 28,
2008

December 31,
2007

(Unaudited)
September 30,
2007


ASSETS
               
Current assets:  
    Cash and cash equivalents   $ 504,385   $ 402,854   $ 401,385  
    Marketable securities    524    2,475    55,355  
    Accounts receivable, net    331,388    181,217    185,208  
    Finance receivables held for sale    2,245,015    781,280    431,843  
    Finance receivables held for investment, net    1,115,035    1,575,283    1,275,590  
    Inventories    401,277    349,697    376,950  
    Other current assets    222,890    174,508    130,126  



Total current assets    4,820,514    3,467,314    2,856,457  

Finance receivables held for investment, net
    906,244    845,044    861,138  
Other long-term assets    1,472,979    1,344,248    1,253,365  



    $ 7,199,737   $ 5,656,606   $ 4,970,960  




LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
  
Current liabilities:  
    Accounts payable & accrued liabilities   $ 1,070,770   $ 785,124   $ 962,250  
    Current portion of debt    1,138,982    1,119,955    250,168  



Total current liabilities    2,209,752    1,905,079    1,212,418  

Debt
    2,033,000    980,000    980,000  
Postretirement healthcare benefits    207,810    192,531    207,957  
Other long-term liabilities    248,816    203,505    207,582  

Total shareholders’ equity
    2,500,359    2,375,491    2,363,003  



    $ 7,199,737   $ 5,656,606   $ 4,970,960  



Note: On January 1, 2008 the Company recorded a reduction to shareholders’ equity of $18.1 million ($11.2 million, net of tax) to adopt provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standard No. 158, “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans, an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106 and 132(R)” that require sponsors of defined benefit pension and postretirement plans to measure the funded status of those plans as of the date of the year-end statement of financial position.

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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)

Nine months ended
September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007


Net cash (used by) provided by operating activities
     ($ 221,222 ) $ 1,368,257  

Cash flows from investing activities:
  
  Capital expenditures    (153,687 )  (139,437 )
  Finance receivables held for investment, net    (111,250 )  (92,147 )
  Collection of retained securitization interests    75,379    87,827  
  Net change in marketable securities    2,019    604,927  
  Acquisition of business, net of cash acquired    (95,224 )  --  
  Other, net    (1,192 )  1,696  


Net cash (used by) provided by investing activities    (283,955 )  462,866  

Cash flows from financing activities:
  
  Proceeds from issuance of medium term notes    993,550    --  
  Net decrease in finance-credit  
    facilities and commercial paper    (86,519 )  (506,938 )
  Revolving debt    175,057    --  
  Dividends    (225,243 )  (189,093 )
  Purchase of common stock for treasury    (250,008 )  (1,000,133 )
  Excess tax benefits from share-based payments    301    3,057  
  Issuance of common stock under employee  
    stock option plans    1,179    21,429  


Net cash provided by (used by) financing activities    608,317    (1,671,678 )

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
  
  and cash equivalents    (1,609 )  3,543  

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
    101,531    162,988  

Cash and cash equivalents:
  
  At beginning of period    402,854    238,397  


  At end of period   $ 504,385   $ 401,385  


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Net Revenue and Motorcycle
Shipment Data

(Unaudited)

Three months ended Nine months ended
September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007

September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007


NET REVENUE (in thousands)
                   
Harley-Davidson® motorcycles   $ 1,050,969   $ 1,182,628   $ 3,255,333   $ 3,328,309  
Buell® motorcycles    26,111    22,527    89,704    72,795  
Parts & Accessories    259,033    251,499    706,640    703,107  
General Merchandise    84,034    83,185    244,830    232,011  
Other    2,687    1,562    5,209    4,272  




    $ 1,422,834   $ 1,541,401   $ 4,301,716   $ 4,340,494  





HARLEY-DAVIDSON UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  United States    49,953    65,756    149,228    182,447  
  International    24,751    20,779    77,670    66,966  




Total    74,704    86,535    226,898    249,413  





Motorcycle product mix:
  
  Touring    24,008    28,461    75,691    84,934  
  Custom    34,322    39,488    105,316    109,576  
  Sportster®    16,374    18,586    45,891    54,903  




Total    74,704    86,535    226,898    249,413  





BUELL UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  Buell    2,760    2,639    9,224    8,376  








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Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles

Three months ended Nine months ended
September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007

September 28,
2008

September 30,
2007

North America Region                    
  United States    59,000    69,810    189,437    215,092  
  Canada    3,682    3,277    14,552    12,855  




    Total North America Region    62,682    73,087    203,989    227,947  

Europe Region (Includes Middle East and Africa)
  
  Europe*    8,481    8,301    34,284    32,594  
  Other    1,006    920    3,483    2,675  




    Total Europe Region    9,487    9,221    37,767    35,269  

Asia Pacific Region
  
  Japan    4,697    3,808    11,502    10,028  
  Other    2,310    2,156    7,722    6,816  




    Total Asia Pacific Region    7,007    5,964    19,224    16,844  

Latin America Region
    1,776    1,254    6,034    3,902  





    Total Worldwide Retail Sales
    80,952    89,526    267,014    283,962  




Data Source (subject to update)
Data source for all 2007 and 2008 retail sales figures shown above is sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and this information is subject to revision.

Only Harley-Davidson® motorcycles are included in the Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Sales data.

* Data for Europe include Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.

Heavyweight Market Data

Nine months ended
September 30,
2008

September 30,
2007

United States1      425,731    443,511  

Eight months ended
August 31,
2008

August 31,
2007

Europe2      323,139    311,164  

1 - United States industry data includes 651+cc models, derived from submission of motorcycle retail sales by each major manufacturer to an independent third party.

2 - Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 651+cc models, derived from information provided by Giral S.A., an independent agency. Europe market data is reported on a one-month lag.


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