EX-99.1 2 cmw2921a.htm PRESS RELEASE
Financial Contact: Mark Van Genderen (414) 343-8002
Media Contact: Bob Klein (414) 343-4433

HARLEY-DAVIDSON ANNOUNCES 2007 SECOND QUARTER RESULTS
2008 Model Motorcycles Introduced

        Milwaukee, Wis., July 19, 2007 — Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HOG) today announced its results for the second quarter ended July 1, 2007. Revenue for the quarter was $1.62 billion compared to $1.38 billion in the year ago quarter, a 17.7 percent increase. Net income for the quarter was $290.5 million compared to $243.4 million, an increase of 19.3 percent over the second quarter of 2006. Second quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.14, a 25.3 percent increase compared to last year’s $0.91. During the second quarter the Company repurchased $429.9 million of its common stock.

        “During the second quarter, we shipped 95,117 Harley-Davidson® motorcycles to our dealers around the world, driving strong financial results,” said Jim Ziemer, Chief Executive Officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. “On the retail side of the business, our dealers’ sales were down 1.2 percent worldwide during the quarter, with U.S. dealers’ sales down 5.5 percent and international retail sales growing at double digit rates. Retail sales in every major country in Europe were up during the quarter, resulting in 13.7 percent growth in total European sales. Japan, Canada, and all other international markets grew at a combined rate of 13.4 percent,” he said.

        “Last week at our annual dealer meeting in Nashville, Tennessee, we introduced our new line of 2008 models including the spectacular, limited edition 105th Anniversary motorcycles. A new Dyna Fat BobTM motorcycle, along with the ground-breaking new RockerTM and the Rocker TM C models, completely redefine the custom motorcycle category. And to top that off, we unveiled significant new features for our touring motorcycles, a major power increase for the VRSC TM models, and the first liquid-cooled Buell® motorcycle, the 1125R. Products like these reaffirm our heavyweight category leadership,” said Ziemer.

        The Company expects to ship between 91,000 and 95,000 Harley-Davidson motorcycles during the third quarter of 2007. For the full year of 2007, Harley-Davidson continues to expect EPS growth in the range of 4 – 6 percent compared to 2006 based on moderate revenue growth, lower operating margin, and the benefits of our strong free cash flow. Looking ahead to 2008 and 2009, the Company expects solid revenue growth, operating margin improvement and the continued benefits of strong free cash flow to drive EPS growth in the range of 11 – 17 percent.

        “While we remain comfortable with this guidance, U.S. retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the first half of the year have not met our expectations. As a result, we will continue to closely monitor the retail environment and regularly assess our planned wholesale shipments throughout the remainder of 2007,” said Ziemer.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment – Second Quarter Results

        Revenue from Harley-Davidson motorcycles was $1.25 billion, an increase of $226.4 million or 22.0 percent versus the same period last year. Shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles totaled 95,117 units, an increase of 15,321 units or 19.2 percent compared to last year’s second quarter.

        Revenue from Parts and Accessories (P&A), which consists of Genuine Motor Parts and Genuine Motor Accessories, totaled $263.4 million, an increase of $11.7 million or 4.6 percent over the year-ago quarter. Revenue from General Merchandise, which consists of MotorClothes® apparel and collectibles, totaled $72.7 million, an increase of $5.6 million or 8.4 percent over the year-ago quarter.

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        Gross margin for the second quarter of 2007 was 37.4 percent of revenue compared to 37.5 percent for the second quarter last year. Second quarter operating margin increased to 23.8 percent from 23.6 percent in the second quarter of 2006.

Motorcycle Retail Sales Data

        During the second quarter, worldwide retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 1.2 percent compared to the prior year second quarter.  In the U.S., retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles decreased 5.5 percent for the quarter. The heavyweight motorcycle market in the U.S. decreased 6.2 percent for the same period.

        Retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles grew 13.6 percent in international markets during the second quarter of 2007 compared to the second quarter of 2006.  Second quarter retail sales increased 13.7 percent in Europe; Canada was up 9.9 percent; and Japan was up 5.2 percent. All other international markets combined were up 27.4 percent.

        Data is listed in the accompanying tables.

Financial Services Segment

        Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS) reported second quarter operating income of $65.2 million, an increase of $9.0 million or 15.9 percent compared to the year-ago quarter. The increase is primarily due to a higher securitization gain, increased net interest income and growth in fee income.

Income Tax Rate

        The Company’s second quarter effective income tax rate was 35.5 percent compared to 36.0 percent in the same quarter last year.  This decrease primarily reflects the reinstatement of the federal research and development tax credit.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. — Six Month Results

        For the first six months of 2007, revenue totaled $2.80 billion, a 5.1 percent increase over the year-ago period. Earnings per share were $1.89, an increase of 6.8 percent compared to the same period last year.

        Through the first six months of this year, shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were 162,878 units, a 2.2 percent increase compared to last year’s 159,302 units. Harley-Davidson motorcycle revenue was $2.15 billion, up 5.4 percent compared to last year’s $2.04 billion. P&A revenue totaled $451.6 million, a 3.9 percent increase over last year’s $434.7 million. General Merchandise revenue totaled $148.8 million, a 9.7 percent increase compared to $135.6 million during the same period in 2006.

        HDFS operating income was $124.1 million, a 15.1 percent increase over last year’s $107.9 million.

Cash Flow

        Cash and marketable securities totaled $723.4 million as of July 1, 2007. Cash flow from operations was $1.06 billion, and capital expenditures were $86.0 million during the first six months of 2007. For the full year of 2007, capital expenditures are expected to be between $300 million and $325 million.

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Stock Repurchase

        The Company repurchased 6.7 million shares of its common stock at a cost of $429.9 million during the second quarter of 2007. On July 1, 2007, the Company had 251.2 million shares of common stock outstanding.

        As of July 1, 2007, there are 15.2 million shares remaining on a board-approved share repurchase authorization. An additional board-approved share repurchase authorization is in place to offset option exercises.

Company Background

        Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the group of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company, Buell Motorcycle Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Harley-Davidson Motor Company, the only major U.S.-based motorcycle manufacturer, produces heavyweight motorcycles and offers a complete line of motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel, and general merchandise. Buell Motorcycle Company produces sport motorcycles. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and their retail customers.

Forward-Looking Statements

        The Company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are “forward-looking statements” intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the Company “believes,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” or “estimates” or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets, guidance or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the Company disclaims any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

        The Company’s ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the Company’s ability to (i) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities and manage operating costs including materials, labor and overhead, (ii) manage production capacity and production changes, (iii) manage supply chain issues, (iv) provide products, services and experiences that are successful in the marketplace, (v) develop and implement sales and marketing plans that retain existing retail customers and attract new retail customers in an increasingly competitive marketplace, (vi) sell all of its motorcycles and related products and services to its independent dealers and distributors, (vii) continue to develop the capabilities of its distributor and dealer network, (viii) manage changes and prepare for requirements in legislative and regulatory environments for its products, services and operations, (ix) adjust to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, (x) manage regional and worldwide demographic trends and economic and political conditions, including healthcare inflation, pension reform and tax changes, (xi) manage the credit quality and recovery rates of HDFS’s loan portfolio, (xii) retain and attract talented employees, (xiii) detect any defects in our motorcycles to minimize delays in new model launches, recall campaigns, increased warranty costs or litigation and (xiv) implement and manage enterprise-wide information technology solutions and secure data contained in those systems. In addition, the Company could experience delays or disruptions in its operations as a result of work stoppages, strikes, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Other factors are described in risk factors that the Company has disclosed in documents previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

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        The Company’s ability to sell all of its motorcycles and related products and services also depends on the ability of the Company’s independent dealer network to sell them to retail customers. The Company depends on the capability of its independent dealers and distributors to develop and implement effective retail sales plans to create demand for the motorcycles and related products and services they purchase from the Company.

        In addition, the Company’s independent dealers and distributors may experience difficulties in selling Harley-Davidson motorcycles and related products and services as a result of weather, economic conditions or other factors.

TABLES FOLLOW










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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(Unaudited)
(In thousands, except per share amounts)

Three months ended Six months ended
July 1,
2007

June 25,
2006

July 1,
2007

June 25,
2006


Net revenue
    $ 1,620,218   $ 1,377,047   $ 2,799,093   $ 2,662,137  
Gross profit    605,167    516,326    1,028,213    1,009,540  
Operating expenses    218,812    191,358    406,444    372,260  




  Operating income from motorcycles & related products    386,355    324,968    621,769    637,280  

Financial services income
    112,330    98,567    221,493    194,468  
Financial services expense    47,121    42,310    97,347    86,580  




Operating income from financial services    65,209    56,257    124,146    107,888  

Corporate expenses
    6,532    6,751    11,471    11,508  




Total operating income    445,032    374,474    734,444    733,660  
Investment income and other, net    5,335    5,885    14,079    13,202  




Income before provision for income taxes    450,367    380,359    748,523    746,862  
Provision for income taxes    159,877    136,929    265,723    268,869  




Net income   $ 290,490   $ 243,430   $ 482,800   $ 477,993  





Earnings per common share:
  
  Basic   $ 1.15   $ 0.91   $ 1.89   $ 1.77  
  Diluted   $ 1.14   $ 0.91   $ 1.89   $ 1.77  

Weighted-average common shares:
  
  Basic    253,155    267,487    255,240    270,133  
  Diluted    254,017    268,130    256,087    270,783  

Cash dividends per common share
   $ 0.25   $ 0.21   $ 0.46   $ 0.39  


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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)

(Unaudited)
July 1,
2007

December 31,
2006

(Unaudited)
June 25,
2006


ASSETS
               
Current Assets:  
    Cash and cash equivalents   $ 416,084   $ 238,397   $ 391,967  
    Marketable securities    307,347    658,133    612,508  
    Accounts receivable, net    163,369    143,049    150,526  
    Finance receivables held for sale    381,927    547,106    233,167  
    Finance receivables held for investment, net    1,318,025    1,554,260    1,101,587  
    Inventories    344,969    287,798    292,757  
    Other current assets    122,342    121,890    114,613  



Total current assets    3,054,063    3,550,633    2,897,125  

Finance receivables held for investment, net
    817,027    725,957    678,938  
Other long-term assets    1,250,504    1,255,560    1,467,266  



    $ 5,121,594   $ 5,532,150   $ 5,043,329  




LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
  
Current liabilities:  
    Accounts payable & accrued liabilities   $ 872,283   $ 763,186   $ 739,510  
    Current portion of finance debt    204,817    832,491    34,605  



Total current liabilities    1,077,100    1,595,677    774,115  

Finance debt
    975,000    870,000    1,000,000  
Postretirement healthcare benefits    205,767    201,126    67,801  
Other long-term liabilities    205,883    108,610    233,580  

Total shareholders’ equity
    2,657,844    2,756,737    2,967,833  



    $ 5,121,594   $ 5,532,150   $ 5,043,329  



* The Company’s adoption of Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation No. 48 (FIN 48) effective 1/1/07 resulted in a decrease to shareholders’ equity of $16.1 million.





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Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)
(In thousands)

Six months ended
July 1,
2007

June 25,
2006


Net cash provided by operating activities
    $ 1,062,455   $ 825,619  

Cash flows from investing activities:
  
  Capital expenditures    (86,016 )  (89,124 )
  Finance receivables held for investment, net    (70,128 )  (54,485 )
  Collection of retained securitization interests    43,241    26,227  
  Net change in marketable securities    352,477    293,623  
  Other, net    3,582    1,719  


Net cash provided by investing activities    243,156    177,960  

Cash flows from financing activities:
  
  Net decrease in finance-credit  
    facilities and commercial paper    (535,990 )  (161,437 )
  Dividends    (116,650 )  (104,494 )
  Purchase of common stock for treasury    (491,103 )  (499,543 )
  Excess tax benefits from share-based payments    2,932    1,547  
  Issuance of common stock under employee  
    stock option plans    20,621    8,176  


Net cash used by financing activities    (1,120,190 )  (755,751 )

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
  
  and cash equivalents    (7,734 )  3,164  

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
    177,687    250,992  

Cash and cash equivalents:
  
  At beginning of period    238,397    140,975  


  At end of period   $ 416,084   $ 391,967  






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Net Revenue and Motorcycle
Shipment Data
(Unaudited)

Three months ended Six months ended
July 1,
2007

June 25,
2006

July 1,
2007

June 25,
2006


NET REVENUE (in thousands)
                   
Harley-Davidson® motorcycles   $ 1,254,163   $ 1,027,800   $ 2,145,681   $ 2,036,342  
Buell® motorcycles    28,613    29,347    50,268    53,403  
Parts & Accessories    263,373    251,703    451,608    434,652  
General Merchandise    72,714    67,071    148,826    135,622  
Other    1,355    1,126    2,710    2,118  




    $ 1,620,218   $ 1,377,047   $ 2,799,093   $ 2,662,137  





HARLEY-DAVIDSON UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  United States    67,951    58,052    116,691    118,322  
  Export    27,166    21,744    46,187    40,980  




Total    95,117    79,796    162,878    159,302  





Motorcycle product mix:
  
  Touring    34,671    27,336    56,473    54,873  
  Custom    39,320    36,714    70,088    72,508  
  Sportster®    21,126    15,746    36,317    31,921  




Total    95,117    79,796    162,878    159,302  





BUELL UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  Buell    3,179    3,539    5,737    6,576  











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Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles
Year to Date June 30, 2007

2007 2006

United States
     145,282    154,041  
Europe*    24,293    20,635  
Japan    6,220    6,217  
Canada    9,578    8,646  
All other markets    9,063    7,406  

Total Retail Sales of Harley-Davidson Motorcycles
    194,436    196,945  

Data Source (subject to update)
Data source for all 2006 and 2007 retail sales figures shown above is sales warranty and registration information provided by Harley-Davidson dealers and compiled by the Company. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and this information is subject to revision.

Only Harley-Davidson® motorcycles are included in the Harley-Davidson Motorcycle Sales data.

*Data for Europe include Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom

Heavyweight Market Data
Data Through Month Indicated

2007 2006

United States1 (June)
     (307,755 )  (321,839 )
Europe2 (May)    (205,041 )  (195,529 )

1 - United States industry data includes 651+cc models, derived from submission of motorcycle retail sales by each major manufacturer to an independent third party.

2 - Europe data includes Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. Industry retail motorcycle registration data includes 651+cc models, derived from information provided by Giral S.A., an independent agency.





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